The Vegas Golden Knights entered Game 3 at 44% on Polymarket to win the Stanley Cup, but now sit at 64% following their thrilling double-overtime 5-4 win over the Carolina Hurricanes in which they took a 2-1 series lead. The Knights had briefly reached 75% when they appeared set to close out Game 2, before that lead evaporated.
Shea Theodore's shot deflected off Carolina's Jordan Martinook and into the net via Brandon Bussi's skate at 5:38 of the second overtime Saturday.
Mitch Marner's Conn Smythe odds moved from 37% to 67% after the game. Marner paced all playoff scorers with 28 points in 19 games, eight clear of Carolina's Jackson Blake.
Marner built the four-goal cushion almost single-handedly, recording the fastest hat trick in Stanley Cup Finals history across a 6:10 stretch of the second period. The natural hat trick broke a record held by Maurice "Rocket" Richard of the Montreal Canadiens since 1957. Marner also added an assist on Tomas Hertl's power play goal, giving him four points in the period and matching a Finals record set by Frank Foysten of the 1919 Seattle Metropolitans.
"Well, I think a lot of guys made great plays to set me up," Marner said. "I think you need five guys on the ice to all be on the same page. And I thought our line did a really good job of that throughout the entire night."
Carolina then erased that 4-0 margin with three goals in 39 seconds late in the third, the fastest such sequence in Finals history, before Andrei Svechnikov converted a six-on-four power play with 1:42 remaining to force overtime. Carolina had been 6-0 in overtime during the 2026 playoffs.
Teams that take a 2-1 Finals lead have gone on to win the Cup 46 of 57 times. Game 4 is Tuesday in Las Vegas.
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