Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Odds, Puck Line & Insights for April 17

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-29-8) are favored at home (-125 moneyline odds to win) against the Toronto Maple Leafs (46-25-10, +105 moneyline odds). The outing on Wednesday begins at 7:00 PM ET from Amalie Arena on ESPN+ and BSSUN.

Ahead of this matchup, here is who we predict to bring home the win in Wednesday's hockey game.

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

  • When: Wednesday, April 17, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+ and BSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida

Prediction: Who will win the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs game?

Computer picks for Lightning vs Maple Leafs
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Maple Leafs (+1.5) Under (7) Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 3

Think the Lightning will bring home the victory in this matchup? Or will the Maple Leafs pull it out? Bet on the winner at BetMGM.

Lightning Betting Insights (Last 10 Games)

  • In its past 10 games Tampa Bay has gone 5-4-1 overall, with a 5-5-0 record against the spread.
  • In its past 10 contests, Tampa Bay hit the over twice.
  • The Lightning's past 10 games have averaged 0.5 fewer goals than the over/under of 7 set for this matchup.
  • In their past 10 games, the Lightning are scoring 0.4 more goals per game than their season-long average.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights (Last 10 Games)

  • The Maple Leafs went 6-3-1 in its past 10 games, including a 5-5-0 record against the spread in that span.
  • Toronto has hit the over in five of its last 10 outings.
  • The Maple Leafs have averaged a total of 6.2 goals over their last 10 games, 0.8 fewer than this matchup's over/under of 7.
  • Over their last 10 games, Maple Leafs' game goal totals average 9.5 goals, 0.5 goals lower per game than their season-long game scoring average.

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Lightning Top Performers

  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded 142 total points in 80 games for Tampa Bay this season. He's first on the club with 99 assists and also has scored 43 goals.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy is 30-20-2 in goal this season after conceding 148 goals (2.9 goals against average), making 1330 saves, and compiling a .900 save percentage.
  • Victor Hedman leads Tampa Bay with his +18 plus-minus on the season.

Maple Leafs Top Performers

  • Toronto is led by Auston Matthews in terms of points (107) and goals (69).
  • Ilya Samsonov is 23-7-8 this season, with a 3.1 goals against average and an .890 save percentage (57th in the league).
  • Matthews has the best plus-minus rating on the team at +32.

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Lightning Injuries

Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Out), Mikhail Sergachev: Lower Body (Out), Haydn Fleury: Upper Body (Questionable), Tyler Motte: Lower Body (Questionable)

Maple Leafs Injuries

John Klingberg: Hip (Out For Season), Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Max Domi: Undisclosed (Out), Bobby McMann: Lower Body (Questionable)

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