| 11th March, 2010 - 11:08 pm
 By Nick Obergan
When I was looking at the standings over the past couple of months, I realized that they didn?t accurately portray how good or bad certain teams are, especially in relation to each other. The commonly held view has been that weak/strong divisions play a large role in this. And while they do play a role, it is not as large as you might think.
So I began to think of other reasons why points don?t accurately portray the teams? actual skill level, and found the following to be true:
- I noticed that average teams were being saved by above average goaltending, while above average teams were being let down by average goaltending.
- More often than not, offensive teams get all of the attention, while important factors such as penalty killing, face-offs, and how many shots a team allows end up being overlooked.
- As the playoffs loom, it becomes increasingly important to fare well in one-goal-games, and in overtime. Additionally, it is important to be consistent, as well as streaking in a positive way.
Thus, I created a unique formula that pulls from all important team stats/percentages and combines them into one number value. While the formula won?t be listed (as not to have it stolen, and keep it unique to myself and RealGM), I am listing all of the stats used to come to the conclusion you see below.
Stats of the OCTR:
Wins-Losses-OT Losses (Record);
Point percentage (PT%) ? which is the percentage of available points the team has secured during their games played;
Goals for and against (G/GA);
Shots for and against (S/SA);
Power play and penalty killing % (PP%/PK%);
Percentage of wins in 1 goal games (1GG%);
Percentage of wins in overtime games (OT%);
Point percentage over the last 10 games (L10PT%);
Season point percentage of opponents faced over the last 10 games (L10PT%Opp);
Team faceoff percentage (FO%).
Without further ado, let?s unveil the first ever ?Obe?s Comprehensive Team Rankings? (OCTR), counting all games played up until March 9th.
1. Chicago Blackhawks
Record:43-17-5 PT%:70.0 G/GA:3.22/2.4 S/SA:34.0/24.2 PP%/PK%:19.6/84.4 1GG%:60.6 OT%:50.0 L10PT%:65.0 L10PT%Opp:52.2 FO%:52.4
Final Rating: 105.884
2. Washington Capitals
Record:44-13-9 PT%:73.5 G/GA:3.88/2.76 S/SA:33.0/31.0 PP%/PK%:25.2/78.5 1GG%:46.7 OT%:25.0 L10PT%:75.0 L10PT%Opp:54.7 FO%:51.6
Final Rating: 102.440
3. San Jose Sharks
Record:42-14-9 PT%:71.5 G/GA:3.17/2.37 S/SA:32.0/31.3 PP%/PK%:22.2/86.2 1GG%:55.2 OT%:35.7 L10PT%:60.0 L10PT%Opp:51.9 FO%:55.9
Final Rating: 97.364
4. Vancouver Canucks
Record:41-23-2 PT%:63.6 G/GA:3.24/2.54 S/SA:30.4/29.1 PP%/PK%:21.4/80.6 1GG%:60.9 OT%:20.0 L10PT%:70.0 L10PT%Opp:54.4 FO%:51.2
Final Rating: 91.068
5. Pittsburgh Penguins
Record:40-22-4 PT%:63.6 G/GA:3.09/2.85 S/SA:32.6/29.2 PP%/PK%:17.3/83.2 1GG%:67.7 OT%:39.3 L10PT%:75.0 L10PT%Opp:56.3 FO%:49.2
Final Rating: 90.972
6. Los Angeles Kings
Record:39-22-4 PT%:63.1 G/GA:2.95/2.63 S/SA:29.0/27.4 PP%/PK%:20.0/80.3 1GG%:62.5 OT%:41.2 L10PT%:65.0 L10PT%Opp:51.9 FO%:49.6
Final Rating: 88.063
7. Phoenix Coyotes
Record:39-22-5 PT%:62.9 G/GA:2.56/2.42 S/SA:30.0/29.4 PP%/PK%:14.9/83.7 1GG%:67.7 OT%:35.5 L10PT%:60.0 L10PT%Opp:55.5 FO%:50.4
Final Rating: 85.702
8. Philadelphia Flyers
Record:35-26-4 PT%:56.9 G/GA:3.0/2.66 S/SA:31.6/28.6 PP%/PK%:22.8/81.5 1GG%:50.0 OT%:33.3 L10PT%:75.0 L10PT%Opp:52.3 FO%:50.1
Final Rating: 84.284
9. New Jersey Devils
Record:38-23-3 PT%:61.7 G/GA:2.55/2.38 S/SA:29.8/27.4 PP%/PK%:18.7/80.9 1GG%:56.3 OT%:36.8 L10PT%:35.0 L10PT%Opp:51.6 FO%:48.7
Final Rating: 83.821
10. Ottawa Senators
Record:37-25-5 PT%:59.0 G/GA:2.70/2.78 S/SA:29.7/28.4 PP%/PK%:16.2/84.2 1GG%:65.4 OT%:50.0 L10PT%:55.0 L10PT%Opp:53.7 FO%:49.1
Final Rating: 82.914
11. Buffalo Sabres
Record:35-20-9 PT%:61.7 G/GA:2.67/2.42 S/SA:31.4/31.7 PP%/PK%:16.9/86.0 1GG%:55.9 OT%:70.6 L10PT%:40.0 L10PT%Opp:57.0 FO%:48.8
Final Rating: 82.644
12. Detroit Red Wings
Record:31-23-12 PT%:56.1 G/GA:2.62/2.64 S/SA:33.0/30.2 PP%/PK%:19.4/82.4 1GG%:43.8 OT%:72.7 L10PT%:50.0 L10PT%Opp:60.8 FO%:51.4
Final Rating: 80.904
13. Nashville Predators
Record:36-25-5 PT%:58.9 G/GA:2.71/2.8 S/SA:30.2/29.2 PP%/PK%:17.4/76.3 1GG%:70.4 OT%:42.9 L10PT%:55.0 L10PT%Opp:56.3 FO%:48.9
Final Rating: 80.643
14. Calgary Flames
Record:33-24-9 PT%:56.8 G/GA:2.53/2.44 S/SA:28.5/28.9 PP%/PK%:17.0/82.9 1GG%:60.6 OT%:71.4 L10PT%:65.0 L10PT%Opp:53.3 FO%:47.4
Final Rating: 79.843
15. Colorado Avalanche
Record:37-23-6 PT%:60.6 G/GA:2.89/2.59 S/SA:27.1/31.9 PP%/PK%:17.9/82.5 1GG%:40.6 OT%:47.1 L10PT%:50.0 L10PT%Opp:55.4 FO%:47.5
Final Rating: 77.794
16. Boston Bruins
Record:29-24-12 PT%:53.8 G/GA:2.32/2.45 S/SA:31.0/30.1 PP%/PK%:18.7/86.3 1GG%:40.5 OT%:60.0 L10PT%:70.0 L10PT%Opp:52.1 FO%:52.1
Final Rating: 75.940
17. Minnesota Wild
Record:31-28-6 PT%:52.3 G/GA:2.71/2.8 S/SA:28.7/28.4 PP%/PK%:19.0/82.1 1GG%:52.8 OT%:43.8 L10PT%:50.0 L10PT%Opp:52.4 FO%:53.6
Final Rating: 73.746
18. Montreal Canadiens
Record:33-29-6 PT%:52.9 G/GA:2.6/2.74 S/SA:28.2/32.6 PP%/PK%:24.2/83.1 1GG%:47.2 OT%:43.8 L10PT%:60.0 L10PT%Opp:59.5 FO%:49.4
Final Rating: 72.869
19. St. Louis Blues
Record:30-26-9 PT%:53.1 G/GA:2.63/2.74 S/SA:29.4/30.6 PP%/PK%:16.1/86.1 1GG%:50.0 OT%:55.6 L10PT%:60.0 L10PT%Opp:62.0 FO%:48.9
Final Rating: 91.565
20. Dallas Stars
Record:29-24-12 PT%:53.8 G/GA:2.75/3.05 S/SA:31.0/30.9 PP%/PK%:18.3/76.9 1GG%:48.4 OT%:61.5 L10PT%:55.0 L10PT%Opp:60.5 FO%:47.7
Final Rating: 72.741
21. New York Rangers
Record:29-28-9 PT%:50.8 G/GA:2.54/2.67 S/SA:29.9/30.1 PP%/PK%:18.7/84.2 1GG%:35.7 OT%:50.0 L10PT%:50.0 L10PT%Opp:62.8 FO%:49.7
Final Rating: 71.267
22. Anaheim Ducks
Record:30-28-8 PT%:51.5 G/GA:2.74/3.04 S/SA:29.6/33.1 PP%/PK%:19.5/79.3 1GG%:53.6 OT%:70.0 L10PT%:45.0 L10PT%Opp:53.5 FO%:48.3
Final Rating: 68.968
23. Atlanta Thrashers
Record:28-27-10 PT%:50.8 G/GA:2.92/3.17 S/SA:29.8/33.4 PP%/PK%:16.6/80.8 1GG%:37.8 OT%:72.2 L10PT%:50.0 L10PT%Opp:55.6 FO%:50.9
Final Rating: 66.825
24. Columbus Blue Jackets
Record:26-30-11 PT%:47.0 G/GA:2.58/3.1 S/SA:28.8/30.5 PP%/PK%:19.8/82.2 1GG%:39.1 OT%:73.3 L10PT%:60.0 L10PT%Opp:63.1 FO%:50.9
Final Rating: 66.667
25. Carolina Hurricanes
Record:27-31-7 PT%:46.9 G/GA:2.75/3.02 S/SA:29.1/31.0 PP%/PK%:17.7/81.5 1GG%:41.2 OT%:47.8 L10PT%:80.0 L10PT%Opp:53.6 FO%:48.8
Final Rating: 65.832
26. Tampa Bay Lightning
Record:27-27-11 PT%:50.0 G/GA:2.66/2.98 S/SA:29.2/31.1 PP%/PK%:19.0/80.4 1GG%:36.7 OT%:31.2 L10PT%:40.0 L10PT%Opp:55.0 FO%:51.3
Final Rating: 65.184
27. New York Islanders
Record:26-32-8 PT%:45.5 G/GA:2.48/3.09 S/SA:30.7/31.5 PP%/PK%:15.5/74.7 1GG%:45.7 OT%:75.0 L10PT%:30.0 L10PT%Opp:55.9 FO%:48.0
Final Rating: 62.161
28. Florida Panthers
Record:27-28-10 PT%:49.2 G/GA:2.54/2.77 S/SA:28.8/34.4 PP%/PK%:15.6/79.6 1GG%:38.7 OT%:61.5 L10PT%:35.0 L10PT%Opp:53.0 FO%:50.4
Final Rating: 62.088
29. Toronto Maple Leafs
Record:21-33-12 PT%:40.9 G/GA:2.58/3.33 S/SA:32.8/29.7 PP%/PK%:15.5/72.3 1GG%:34.5 OT%:41.7 L10PT%:45.0 L10PT%Opp:57.7 FO%:50.6
Final Rating: 59.054
30. Edmonton Oilers
Record:21-39-6 PT%:36.4 G/GA:2.38/3.35 S/SA:28.2/32.4 PP%/PK%:17.5/76.2 1GG%:38.5 OT%:57.1 L10PT%:30.0 L10PT%Opp:59.1 FO%:46.9
Final Rating: 54.681 |
